Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 130.464881 143.324880 156.445257 170.806096 186.055836 201.740351 219.064996
2025-06-08 109.393596 128.702272 149.303100 172.802220 198.748609 226.409763 258.015008
2025-06-15 96.163184 120.424701 147.364527 179.207649 215.529517 255.392439 302.168497
2025-06-22 83.701325 111.275988 143.065835 181.878922 227.443609 278.718095 340.250812
2025-06-29 72.608490 102.291712 137.758266 182.377268 236.133928 297.976018 373.644287
2025-07-06 64.166195 95.478678 134.152573 184.138776 245.753182 317.997766 407.862217
2025-07-13 58.915986 92.043498 134.165710 189.882077 259.887686 343.270185 448.386942
2025-07-20 53.511564 87.775753 132.609049 193.247188 270.830063 364.600125 484.278321
2025-07-27 49.768486 85.332883 133.076697 198.925615 284.502924 389.232161 524.292243
2025-08-03 45.822551 82.180478 132.259574 202.667405 295.563397 410.610499 560.440921
2025-08-10 38.904142 74.002520 123.973085 195.947494 292.705723 414.292383 574.531958
2025-08-17 33.886444 68.154364 118.468376 192.547432 293.814109 422.706928 594.342253
2025-08-24 30.168374 64.046696 115.270158 192.249003 299.105776 436.701331 621.634308
2025-08-31 27.382162 61.176445 113.685209 194.080599 307.225061 454.424062 653.885782
2025-09-07 26.063744 60.651173 115.556971 200.842246 322.134474 481.166086 697.986090
2025-09-14 23.946501 58.505272 114.770374 203.639682 331.558520 500.768322 733.066960
2025-09-21 21.544354 55.572607 112.531819 204.130388 337.673766 515.975789 762.533683
2025-09-28 19.659402 53.383891 111.310918 206.009618 345.673877 533.706458 795.395099
2025-10-05 18.750266 52.981530 112.949123 212.201984 359.843097 559.839317 839.492779
2025-10-12 17.457031 51.662796 112.955743 215.828835 370.331273 581.056197 877.252412
2025-10-19 16.689872 51.336552 114.586032 221.953581 384.456421 607.306369 921.848177
2025-10-26 15.643202 50.297353 114.908838 225.987720 395.552978 629.490718 961.188644
2025-11-02 13.038136 45.475736 108.295034 218.737124 389.864796 628.424602 969.330407